Once again, Greece tops the list with a yield of 8.04 percent.Fixing the deficit will require raising state revenues and cutting expenditures. More on that later; it is best to start with the mess in Europe.The European countries are heavily in debt after the bailouts in the wake of the Great Recession of 2008-2009. We have record levels of global debt, a number of asset price bubbles and credit has been mis-priced.‘We don’t predict the severity of a recession, we wouldn’t know an accurate way of predicting that,’ an Intensity spokesperson tells Metro.co.uk.‘We’re not prejudiced, we have a big data model and we take it all in. By continuing, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. It allows our most engaged readers to debate the big issues, share their own experiences, discuss real-world solutions, and more. This will be most difficult as Greece tops European unemployment, with a rate of 25.9 percent, reaching even 49.3 percent among the youth. Models show 'a global financial crash of a previously unprecedented scale' as 'highly probable'. Hence, the fiscal situation in Greece has worsened.Another indicator of trouble is the annual yield on bonds. Historically, a financial crisis follows a period of factors such as excessive debt, speculation and/or irrational rises in asset prices. The Bank of Japan pledges to unleash $700 billion, buying stocks in the country and abroad.All told, a shock from Europe can be dampened due to the available pools of liquidity.However, the problem will emerge after calm returns. Niall Ferguson says that, based on the similarity between present conditions and those before the 2008 Great Recession, there is reason to believe another global slowdown is on the wayA specialist reacts to sharp losses on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in October 2008, in the midst of the global financial crisis triggered by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers that September.
They also force savers and conservative investors to turn to stocks, as they are discouraged by the low returns on fixed-income instruments.US stocks now seem to be expensive and overvalued. Warren Buffet calls it “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.”While the median is 0.65, the current value is 1.27. Global meltdown could be sparked by automated trading systems, according to analysts Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? So in order to start thinking about the possible answer we have to play a financial version of Where’s Waldo – we have to figure out if there is a ticking time bomb waiting to explode somewhere in the global economy and launch us into another worldwide crisis.
Please continue to respect all commenters and create constructive debates.Are you sure you want to mark this comment as inappropriate?Please be respectful when making a comment and adhere to our There are no Independent Premium comments yet - be the first to add your thoughtsPlease be respectful when making a comment and adhere to our There are no comments yet - be the first to add your thoughtsAs part of the London Design Festival and designjunction British designer, Steuart Padwick makes a dramatic change to the London skyline in support of mental health at Queens Stone Jetty, Gabriel's Wharf on September 13, 2018Next global financial crisis will strike in 2020, warns JPMorgan
It is already above the peak just before the crash that triggered the Great Recession.The scary scenario is that the economic woes of Europe may ignite, after a period of calm, another great crash.We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. Today the financial media is full of predictions that another financial crisis is looming, including forecasts that the next collapse will be even worse than 10 years ago. That should compensate them for the risk. While the deficits shrank compared to the year before, the ratio of Greece actually rose, from 8.6 percent to the current 12.2 percent. Another global financial crisis is imminent, and here are four reasons why.
Six years. The American market seems overvalued and due for a major correction.As seen in the S&P 500 index, the market has tripled in value since 2009, with only minor corrections in 2010 and 2011.
Topping the list is Greece, whose debt is 175 percent of its GDP. The Treasury 10-year note is now at 2.5 percent, compared to almost 7.5 percent in 2000.The very low rates yield bubbles as borrowing becomes cheap. As Bloomberg notes, yields over 7 percent resulted in bailouts for Greece, Portugal and Ireland. The larger the debt, the greater is the danger for default. Governments sell bonds to investors to raise cash. We let the data talk.‘If our forecasts aren’t moving, if nothing starts changing, if people hold to their policies, we’re confident that’s what they’re marching towards.‘We blind backtested with historical data to test. Due to the sheer scale of this comment community, we are not able to give each post the same level of attention, but we have preserved this area in the interests of open debate.
At the same time, high interest rates make it harder for a country to borrow.
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