Republican validated voters reported choosing Trump by a margin of 92% to 4%, while Democrats supported Clinton by 94% to 5%. In contrast, white degree-holders — who still lean Republican but are much likelier to support Democrats than whites without a degree — rise a percentage point every four years. Characteristics of Voters in the Presidential Election of 2016 This report provides analysis of voters in presidential elections since 1980, with a focus on the election of 2016. 3) Sky-high African-American support and engagement is crucial for Democrats. That proved true in 2020. Voter demographic data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, CBS News, MSNBC, CNN, Fox News, and the Associated Press. Republicans have always understood that their party’s tent is home to different factions. A satirical transcript between the President-Elect and someone else. Such swings are never truly uniform from state to state and from one election to the next, but the interactive should still give you a good sense for how changes in turnout and partisanship affect outcomes. She ended her abysmal campaign, deeply in debt, less than two months later. About 46 percent of voters say the Senate should confirm Barrett, according to a recent Morning Consult/Politico ... An open letter released today and signed by 21 scholars and public writers calls on the Pulitzer Prize Board to rescind the Prize for Commentary awarded to Nikole Hannah-Jones for her lead essay in “The 1619 Project.” The letter is posted at the website of the National Association of Scholars here. », Democrats would still win the Electoral College 283 to 255. Check out how that would affect the election. Exit poll results for 2016. He was a homespun populist pouring his common …, Politics in the Context of Christianity Voter Turnout (26) To build a baseline model of the 2016 presidential election, we started with the results of the 2012 election, looking at support for Mitt Romney vs. President Obama by five demographic groups: whites with college degrees, whites without college degrees, African-Americans, Latinos and Asians/others. More specifically, we used exit polls from 2008 and 2012 to estimate each demographic group’s share of the vote and vote for president in the 2012 election. Yet analyses that focus only on race and ethnicity ignore an even more rapid demographic shift driving Democratic success: educational attainment. Cunningham, a married father of two and lieutenant ... Columbia University and Japan's Hiroshima University researches found that a UVC light wave of 222 nanometers works. And it didn’t have to be this way. Voter Demographics Election 2016 Voter Participation Gender Political Polarization Education U.S. Finally, our data allowed us to estimate the effects of these turnout trends on vote outcomes in 2016. But We’re Way Past Usual. What happened? Demographics (75) Voter turnout this year dipped to nearly its lowest point in two decades. That’s because Latino and Asian voters are heavily concentrated in non-competitive states like California, New York and Texas. All rights reserved. © 2020 ABC News Internet Ventures. Here are a few initial takeaways from our interactive (let us know what else you find @FiveThirtyEight): 1) A small shift in the national vote is all it would take for Republicans to break through Democrats’ supposed “Blue Wall.” If all five of our groups were to shift just 3 percentage points toward the GOP in 2016, Republicans would “flip” Colorado, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin and win 315 electoral votes — almost a mirror image of the 2012 outcome. We then adjusted the size of those demographic groups based on four years of population change.1 From there, you can choose your own adventure: When you adjust each group’s national turnout and party breakdown, the Swing-O-Matic automatically recalculates each state’s election results, along with the outcome of the Electoral College and national popular vote. We’ve built an interactive tool to help you draw your own conclusions about whether, as is often said, demographics truly are destiny. Political Parties Political Attitudes and Values Race and Ethnicity Generations and Age. Video (396) In the fight for justice, moderation is a virtue, Camden’s Success Was Achieved by De-Unionizing, Not Defunding. The new revelations are important, particularly in clarifying a suggestion, made last ... Hillary Clinton personally signed off on the Russiagate farce to distract attention from her email scandal, according to a Russian intelligence analysis that was obtained by U.S. intelligence agencies in July 2016. 2016 vote by party and ideology. In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried 59 percent of all white voters yet lost decisively. David Wasserman is the U.S. House editor for the Cook Political Report. election 2016 exit polls exit polls are surveys of a small percentage of voters taken after they leave their voting place. In 1932, Supreme Court justice Louis Brandeis famously called the states “laboratories of democracy.” Different states can test out different policies, and they can learn from each other. @Redistrict, 2016 Election (1120 posts) 2012 Presidential Election (150) But, as FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver and others have argued, Democrats’ advantage in the Electoral College is much more tenuous than it’s often portrayed.
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